If X is a Poisson random variable with mean 3, then P(|X − 3| < 1) will be:

2019

If X is a Poisson random variable with mean 3, then P(|X − 3| < 1) will be:

  1. A.

    (9e⁻³) / 2

  2. B.

    (e⁻³) / 2

  3. C.

    3e⁻³

  4. D.

    (99e⁻³) / 8

Attempted by 102 students.

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Correct answer: A

Interpretation: |X − 3| < 1 means X must be strictly within 1 unit of 3. For a discrete (integer-valued) Poisson random variable, the only integer that satisfies this is X = 3.

  1. Compute the probability at X = 3 using the Poisson PMF:

  2. P(X = 3) = e^{−3} * 3^{3} / 3!.

  3. Simplify: 3^{3} = 27 and 3! = 6, so 27/6 = 9/2.

Final answer: P(|X − 3| < 1) = P(X = 3) = (9 e^{−3})/2.

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