Next five questions are based on the following passage. Consider a domain…

2021

Next five questions are based on the following passage. Consider a domain consisting of three Boolean variables Toothache, Cavity, and Catch. The full joint distribution is a 2×2×2 table as shown in the figure below. 

The marginal probability of cavity P(cavity) is __________.

  1. A.

    0.200

  2. B.

    0.216

  3. C.

    0.120

  4. D.

    0.080

Attempted by 41 students.

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Correct answer: A

Key idea: the marginal probability of cavity is the sum of all joint probabilities where cavity = true.

  1. Identify the joint entries with cavity = true:

    • toothache = true, catch = true: 0.108

    • toothache = true, catch = false: 0.012

    • toothache = false, catch = true: 0.072

    • toothache = false, catch = false: 0.008

  2. Sum these probabilities:

    0.108 + 0.012 + 0.072 + 0.008 = 0.200

Therefore, the marginal probability P(cavity) = 0.200.

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