In a population of N families, 50% of the families have three children, 30% of…

2004

In a population of N families, 50% of the families have three children, 30% of the families have two children and the remaining families have one child. What is the probability that a randomly picked child belongs to a family with two children?

  1. A.

    3/23

  2. B.

    6/23

  3. C.

    3/10

  4. D.

    3/5

Attempted by 18 students.

Show answer & explanation

Correct answer: B

Key idea: Weight by number of children. Choose N families, compute total children contributed by each family type, then take the ratio for two-child families.

  1. Three-child families: 50% of N → 0.5N families → children = 0.5N × 3 = 1.5N.

  2. Two-child families: 30% of N → 0.3N families → children = 0.3N × 2 = 0.6N.

  3. One-child families: remaining 20% → 0.2N families → children = 0.2N × 1 = 0.2N.

  4. Total children = 1.5N + 0.6N + 0.2N = 2.3N.

  5. Probability a randomly picked child is from a two-child family = children from two-child families / total children = 0.6N / 2.3N = 0.6 / 2.3 = 6/23.

Answer: 6/23

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