Consider a random experiment where two fair coins are tossed. Let A be the…

2023

Consider a random experiment where two fair coins are tossed. Let A be the event that denotes HEAD on both the throws, B be the event that denotes HEAD on the first throw, and C be the event that denotes HEAD on the second throw. Which of the following statements is/are TRUE?

  1. A.

    A and B are independent.

  2. B.

    A and C are independent.

  3. C.

    B and C are independent.

  4. D.

    Prob(B|C) = Prob(B)

Attempted by 65 students.

Show answer & explanation

Correct answer: C, D

Sample space and event probabilities:

  • Sample space: {HH, HT, TH, TT}, each outcome has probability 1/4.

  • Event A (HEAD on both throws): {HH}, P(A) = 1/4.

  • Event B (HEAD on first throw): {HH, HT}, P(B) = 1/2.

  • Event C (HEAD on second throw): {HH, TH}, P(C) = 1/2.

Check independence between each pair:

  • For the pair 'both HEAD' and 'HEAD on first throw': P(A∩B)=P({HH})=1/4, but P(A)P(B)=(1/4)*(1/2)=1/8. Not equal, so these events are not independent.

  • For the pair 'both HEAD' and 'HEAD on second throw': P(A∩C)=P({HH})=1/4, but P(A)P(C)=(1/4)*(1/2)=1/8. Not equal, so these events are not independent.

  • For the pair 'HEAD on first throw' and 'HEAD on second throw': P(B∩C)=P({HH})=1/4 and P(B)P(C)=(1/2)*(1/2)=1/4. Equal, so these events are independent.

Use independence to check the conditional probability statement:

  • P(B|C) = P(B∩C)/P(C) = (1/4)/(1/2) = 1/2, which equals P(B). So the equality P(B|C) = P(B) holds.

Final answer:

  • True: B and C are independent; Prob(B|C) = Prob(B).

  • False: A and B are independent; A and C are independent.

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