Census population of a district in 1981 was 4.54 Lakhs, while in year 2001 it…

2024

Census population of a district in 1981 was 4.54 Lakhs, while in year 2001 it was 7.44 Lakhs. What was the estimated population of that district in year 2009?

  1. A.

    8.6 lakhs

  2. B.

    10 lakhs

  3. C.

    7 lakhs

  4. D.

    11.5 lakhs

Show answer & explanation

Correct answer: A

Concept: When a population grows at a roughly steady (linear) rate, the average annual increase between two known census years is (later population − earlier population) ÷ (number of years between them). To estimate the population in a later year, multiply this per-year rate by the number of years elapsed since the last known census and add it to that census figure.

  1. Years between the two known census figures: 2001 − 1981 = 20 years.

  2. Total increase over those 20 years: 7.44 − 4.54 = 2.90 lakhs.

  3. Average annual increase: 2.90 ÷ 20 = 0.145 lakhs per year.

  4. Years from the last known census (2001) to the target year (2009): 2009 − 2001 = 8 years.

  5. Increase over those 8 years: 8 × 0.145 = 1.16 lakhs.

  6. Estimated 2009 population: 7.44 + 1.16 = 8.60 lakhs.

Cross-check: applying the same annual rate across the full 1981-to-2009 span of 28 years gives 28 × 0.145 = 4.06 lakhs; adding this to the 1981 population gives 4.54 + 4.06 = 8.60 lakhs — the same result, confirming the estimate.

So the estimated population of the district in 2009 is 8.60 lakhs.

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