For the FIFA world cup, Paul the octopus has been predicting the winner of…

TCS · 2025

For the FIFA world cup, Paul the octopus has been predicting the winner of each match with amazing success. It is rumoured that in a match between 2 teams A and B, Paul picks A with the same probability as A chances of winning. Lets assume such rumours to be true and that in a match between Ghana and Bolivia; Ghana the stronger team has a probability of 2/3 of winning the game. What is the probability that Paul will correctly pick the winner of the Ghana-Bolivia game?

  1. A.

    1/9

  2. B.

    4/9

  3. C.

    5/9

  4. D.

    2/3

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